LZ50车轴钢随机S-N关系的概率模型
PROBABILISTIC MODELS FOR THE RANDOM FATIGUE S-N RELATIONS OF LZ50 AXLE STEEL
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摘要: 研究了LZ50 车轴钢疲劳Stress-Life(以下简称S-N)关系的概率模型。同时考虑了S-N 关系的分散性规律和样本数量对概率评价的影响,包括P(存活概率)-S-N 曲线、C(置信度)-S-N 曲线和P-C-S-N 曲线。这些曲线由称之为“广义极大似然法”的方法测定。方法考虑了整体试验S-N 数据的随机性,避免了常规方法从考虑局部数据随机性角度的缺陷。LZ50 车轴钢试验数据的分析结果,说明了模型和方法的合理性和有效性。Abstract: The probabilistic models for the random fatigue stress-life relations of LZ50 axle steel are investigated. The models consist of the survival probability-stress-life curves, the confidence stress-life curves and the confidence-survival probability-stress-life curves. These curves are estimated by a so-called “general maximum likelihood method”. Standpoint of the method is using the randomness of entire stress-life data to characterize the models, rather than using that of local data as in the conventional methods. Effectiveness of the models and feasibility of the present method are verified by an analysis of the present test stress-life data.