陈 磊, 吕震宙, 宋述芳. 模糊可靠性灵敏度分析的线抽样方法[J]. 工程力学, 2008, 25(7): 45-051.
引用本文: 陈 磊, 吕震宙, 宋述芳. 模糊可靠性灵敏度分析的线抽样方法[J]. 工程力学, 2008, 25(7): 45-051.
CHEN Lei, LU Zhen-zhou, SONG Shu-fang. LINE SAMPLING ALGORITHM FOR FUZZY RELIABILITY SENSITIVITY ANALYSIS[J]. Engineering Mechanics, 2008, 25(7): 45-051.
Citation: CHEN Lei, LU Zhen-zhou, SONG Shu-fang. LINE SAMPLING ALGORITHM FOR FUZZY RELIABILITY SENSITIVITY ANALYSIS[J]. Engineering Mechanics, 2008, 25(7): 45-051.

模糊可靠性灵敏度分析的线抽样方法

LINE SAMPLING ALGORITHM FOR FUZZY RELIABILITY SENSITIVITY ANALYSIS

  • 摘要: 依据失效域具有模糊性时模糊失效概率的定义,提出了模糊可靠性灵敏度分析方法。推导了线性功能函数、独立正态基本变量和正态型隶属函数情况下,模糊可靠性灵敏度的解析表达式。给出了模糊可靠性灵敏度的Monte Carlo数字模拟方法,该方法结果在模拟次数趋于无穷时,收敛于真值,但效率较低,尤其是针对高维和小失效概率问题。为解决数字模拟法效率低的问题,提出了模糊可靠性灵敏度分析的线抽样方法。通过离散模糊失效概率积分区域,建立了模糊可靠性灵敏度与离散区域随机可靠性灵敏度的关系,进而利用随机可靠性灵敏度分析的线抽样方法求得模糊可靠性灵敏度。该方法的基本原理、计算公式及实现步骤被详细给出,适用于高维问题和小失效概率、精度高及收敛快等优点则由该文的算例进行验证。

     

    Abstract: According to the definition of fuzzy failure probability for fuzzy failure domain, the methods of Fuzzy Reliability Sensitivity (FRS) analysis are presented. For linear performance function with independent normal variables and normal membership, an analytical method is derived for FRS analysis. In general case, the Monte Carlo numerical simulation method is presented to analyze the FRS. The evaluation of the FRS by the numerical simulation converges almost surely to the real value as the number of simulation approaches infinity. However its efficiency is low, especially for high dimensionality and small failure probability problems. To solve the disadvantage of the numerical simulation, line sampling algorithm is developed for the FRS analysis. By discretizing the integral region of the fuzzy failure probability calculation, the relationship between the FRS and the Random Reliability Sensitivity (RRS) is constructed, then the line sampling algorithm for the RRS is extended to the analysis of the FRS. The basic concept, the formulae and the implementation of this method for the FRS are described in detail, and the advantages, such as high precision, high efficiency and wide applicability for high dimensionality and small failure probability, are demonstrated by the given examples.

     

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