考虑结构不确定性和余震作用的钢筋混凝土框架结构倒塌易损性分析

SEISMIC COLLAPSE FRAGILITY ANALYSIS OF RC FRAMES CONSIDERING AFTERSHOCK AND STRUCTURAL UNCERTAINTY

  • 摘要: 作为一种有效的概率工具,地震倒塌易损性已被广泛应用于结构抗地震倒塌能力评估中。传统地震倒塌易损性分析通常仅考虑一次地震作用,且仅考虑地震动不确定性。然而,一次强震后通常伴随余震的发生,且结构设计参数也存在较强不确定性。在临近倒塌状态时,结构处于高度非线性,结构不确定性与余震作用耦合易对结构抗倒塌能力造成不利影响。针对这一问题,本文开展了考虑结构不确定性和余震作用的结构地震倒塌易损性分析。选择两栋按我国规范设计的钢筋混凝土框架作为研究对象,考虑荷载和材料共计10个结构参数作为不确定性参数,分别采用重复法、随机法、衰减法构造主余震序列。将可控制相关性的拉丁超立方体抽样方法与主余震增量动力分析相结合,提出了随机主余震IDA方法,并对算例结构开展了结构抗主余震倒塌能力分析,获得了结构主余震倒塌易损性曲线。通过对比分析表明:余震作用会降低结构的抗倒塌能力,而结构不确定性会与余震作用产生耦合效应,进一步降低结构的抗倒塌能力,降低幅度可达20%。结构不确定性会使主余震倒塌易损性的离散度变大,同时会增加主余震倒塌易损性的概率水平,增加幅度可达60%。

     

    Abstract: As an effective probability tool, seismic collapse fragility has been widely used in structural seismic collapse capacity assessment. Traditional collapse fragility analysis typically considers only a single earthquake action and only the uncertainty associated with the ground motion records. However, strong mainshocks are often followed by aftershocks, and significant uncertainty also exists in structural design parameters. When structures are in the state of imminent collapse, they exhibit highly nonlinear behavior. And, the coupled effect of structural uncertainty and aftershocks can detrimentally impact the structural collapse capacity. To address this issue, this study conducted a seismic collapse fragility analysis considering aftershock and structural uncertainty. Two reinforced concrete frames designed according to Chinese codes were selected as the case-study structures. Ten structural parameters related to loading condition and material properties were considered as the uncertainty parameters. Mainshock-aftershock sequences were constructed using the repeated, randomized, and decaying methods. A stochastic mainshock-aftershock incremental dynamic analysis (IDA) method was proposed by integrating Correlation reduction-based Latin Hypercube Sampling (CLHS) into the mainshock-aftershock IDA. The method was employed to analyze the mainshock-aftershock collapse capacity of the case-study structures, generating mainshock-aftershock collapse fragility curves. Comparative analyses revealed that the aftershocks reduced the structural collapse capacity, and the coupled effect of structural uncertainty and aftershocks leaded to a further reduction in collapse capacity by up to 20%. Moreover, the structural uncertainty increased the dispersion of the mainshock-aftershock collapse fragility, and also increased the collapse probability by up to 60%.

     

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